Posted by Steve
Tuesday, May 4, 2021 12:45 PM
Plotted by number of attackers and defenders alive, and horizontally showing time before spike plant and after. Data from Pro Play: 2000+ rounds of VCT Stage 2, all regions.
Main takeaways:
- DEFENDERS: 1v2, 2v3 and 3v4 retakes are extremely difficult (around 1 in 7 win rate). Think about saving more.
- ATTACKERS: Its perfectly OK to plant at the last second…
As long as you stay alive: each death gives defenders a ~15% increase in win probability

References
- https://www.reddit.com/r/VALORANT/comments/n3lpoo/round_win_probabilities_based_on_whos_alive_time/
- https://reddit.com/n3lpoo
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