Hi guys!

I know that we are all crazy to get one or several skins in the store and they never come out. It has been asked a lot in this forum what are the possibilities of the one we want coming out every day and of it coming out after a while. I just made a simple python script to calculate the odds of an item appearing in the store. Simply copy the code into any python compiler (such as https://www.programiz.com/python-programming/online-compiler/) and run:

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Code:

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daysWaiting = 1

numberOfSkinsInRotation = 300

numberOfSkinsYouWant = 1

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numberOfSkinInShop = 4

dayProbability = 0

totalProbability = 0

while numberOfSkinInShop > 0:

dayProbability = dayProbability + (numberOfSkinsYouWant/(numberOfSkinsInRotation-numberOfSkinInShop+1))

numberOfSkinInShop -= 1

totalProbability = dayProbability

while daysWaiting > 1:

totalProbability = totalProbability + (1-totalProbability)*dayProbability

daysWaiting -= 1

print((totalProbability*100) , '%')

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To calculate the probability, you just have to modify the first three lines by putting the days of waiting, the number of skins in rotation (I don't know exactly how many, I know there are a few more than 300) and how many skins you are waiting for in total. By giving "Run" it calculates the probability that it will come out after the indicated days!