You're a gold player looking to rank up. You've read countless posts about people not playing smokes, and so as somebody who started the game learning initiator, you've spent time learning to play smokes decently well. You load into competitive. You load up into a lobby, and you're ready to fill for your team.

Your team insta locks Reyna Jett Raze, the fourth locks in Sage.

In this scenario, am I better off locking in smokes (and hoping the duelist will entry, which they often don't really) or lock in an initiator (and play post plant without any smokes)? This has happened to me so many times and I still have no clue which one is the better decision.